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CHAPTER 1: THE NO-FRILLS INVESTMENT STRATEGY
  • Picking the Right Investment Vehicles
  • Risk: Reward Comparisons Between More Volatile and
    Less Volatile Equity Mutual Fund Portfolios
  • Gain/Pain Ratios
  • Drawdown: The Measure of Ultimate Risk
  • The End Result: Less is More
  • Changing Your Bets While the Race is Still Underway
  • Relative Strength Investing
  • Increasing the Risk:
    Maintaining a Portfolio of Somewhat More Aggressive Mutual Funds
  • Observations
  • Upping the Ante
  • A Quick Review of Relative Strength Investing
  • Summing Up
CHAPTER 2: TWO QUICK AND DIRTY MARKET MOOD INDICATORS
  • Identifying High- and Low-Risk Investment Climates
  • The Nasdaq/New York Stock Exchange Relative Strength Indicator
  • Maintenance and Interpretation of the Nasdaq/NYSE Relative Strength Indicator
  • Observations
  • Measuring the market mood with The Intermediate Monetary Filter
  • The Monetary Model
  • Combining the Two Indicators
  • Summing Up

CHAPTER 3: MOVING AVERAGES AND RATES OF CHANGE:
TRACKING TREND AND MOMENTUM
     

  • The Purpose of Moving Averages
  • Moving Averages: Myths and Misconceptions
  • Using Moving Averages to Identify the Four Stages of the Market Cycle
  • The Rate of Change Indicator: How to Measure and Analyze the Momentum of the Stock Market
  • Rate of Change Patterns and the Four Stages of the Market Cycle
CHAPTER 4: MORE THAN JUST PRETTY PICTURES:
POWER TOOL CHART PATTERNS
  • The Concept of Synergy
  • Powerful Chart Formations
  • The Wedge Formation: Times to Accumulate and Times to Distribute Stocks
  • Synergy in Chart Patterns
  • Head and Shoulder Formations
  • Support and Resistance Levels
  • Tricks with Trendlines
  • Channel Support and Resistance
  • False Breakouts and Breakdowns: Key Market Patterns
CHAPTER 5: POLITICAL, SEASONAL, AND TIME CYCLES:
RIDING THE TIDES OF MARKET WAVE MOVEMENTS
  • Calendar-Based Cycles in the Stock Market
  • Time Cycles: Four Days to Four Years
  • Segments of Market Cycles
  • Lengths of Market Cycles
  • How the Confirming Indicator Helps the Cause
  • The 18-Month Market Cycle with a Rate of Change Confirming the Indicator
  • T-Formation: the Ultimate Cyclical Power Tool?
  • In Summary
CHAPTER 6: BOTTOM FISHING, TOP SPOTTING, STAYING THE COURSE:
POWER TOOLS THAT COMBINE MOMENTUM OSCILLATORS WITH MARKET BREADTH MEASUREMENTS FOR IMPROVED MARKET TIMING
  • A Quick Review of Where We Have Been
  • The "Internal" as Opposed to the "External" Stock Market
  • Measures of Market Breadth
  • The New York Stock Exchange Advance-Decline Line
  • Breadth Patterns at Bull Market Highs
  • Using a Somewhat More Sensitive Rate of Change Measure of the Advance-Decline Line
  • The Weekly Impulse Signal
  • The Daily-Based Breadth Impulse Signal
CHAPTER 7: VOLUME EXTREMES, VOLATILITY, AND VIX: RECOGNIZING CLIMACTIC LEVELS AND BUYING OPPORTUNITIES AT MARKET LOW POINTS
  • Market Tops: Calm Before the Storm; Market Bottoms: Storm Before the Calm
  • TRIN: An All-Purpose Market Mood Indicator
  • The Volatility Index (VIX) and Significant Stock Market Buying Zones
  • The Major Reversal Volatility Model
CHAPTER 8: ADVANCED MOVING AVERAGE CONVERGENCE-DIVERGENCE (MACD):
THE ULTIMATE MARKET TIMING INDICATOR?
  • Scope of Discussion
  • The Basic Construction of the Moving Average Convergence-Divergence Indicator
  • Using Divergences to Recognize the Most Reliable Signals
  • Improving MACD Signals by Using Different MACD Combinations for Buying and Selling
  • Synergy: MACD Confirmed by Other Technical Tools
  • MACD Through the Years: Long-Term, Short-Term and Intraday
  • The Amazing Ability of the MACD to Identify Significant Market Low Points Followign Severe Stock Market Declines
CHAPTER 9: MOVING AVERAGE TRADING CHANNELS:
USING YESTERDAY'S ACTION TO CALL TOMORROW'S TURNS
  • The Basic Ingredients of the Moving Average Trading Channel
  • Moving Average Trading Channels in Operation
  • The Evolution of Phases Within the Moving Average Trading Channel
  • Moving Average Channels and the Major Trend
  • How to Construct a Price/Moving Average Differential Oscillator
  • A Review of the Key Rules Associated with Moving Average Trading Band Trading
CHAPTER 10: PUTTING IT ALL TOGETHER:
ORGANIZING YOUR MARKET STRATEGIES
  • The First Step: Define the Major Trend and Major Term Cycles of the Stock Market
  • The Second Step: Check Out Market Mood Indicators and Seasonal Cycles
  • The Third Step: Establish the Direction and Strength of the Current Intermediate Trend and Try to Project the Time and Place of the Next Intermediate-Term Reversal
  • The Fourth Step: Fine-Tune Your Intermediate-Term Studies with Studies Based on Shorter-Term Daily- or Even Hourly- Market Readings
  • Lessons I Have Learned During 40 Years as a Trader
  • Recommended Reading and Resources


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